Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.657293 4.078363 4.535820 5.070952 5.681323 6.357593 7.166047
2025-03-30 3.047147 3.609606 4.265436 5.091352 6.110299 7.334733 8.930254
2025-04-06 2.634221 3.260341 4.029201 5.052271 6.392106 8.106847 10.499520
2025-04-13 2.245649 2.872849 3.673926 4.786042 6.312063 8.365249 11.393065
2025-04-20 2.047456 2.697518 3.557537 4.798234 6.575096 9.079466 12.970442
2025-04-27 1.917327 2.593871 3.517892 4.898585 6.955741 9.984077 14.928240
2025-05-04 1.807070 2.503508 3.482416 4.992670 7.326273 10.903469 17.023345
2025-05-11 1.701368 2.407820 3.426813 5.045259 7.630897 11.745917 19.101844
2025-05-18 1.605524 2.316843 3.367489 5.081662 7.906841 12.564825 21.247392
2025-05-25 1.476280 2.164861 3.202119 4.932840 7.860980 12.835691 22.447849
2025-06-01 1.382860 2.060086 3.100166 4.874569 7.956038 13.351457 24.163895
2025-06-08 1.304477 1.972661 3.017965 4.839703 8.084227 13.934442 26.086937
2025-06-15 1.275751 1.963610 3.063436 5.029476 8.638629 15.381742 30.018367
2025-06-22 1.209679 1.889341 2.995944 5.016529 8.821629 16.148821 32.665648
2025-06-29 1.143987 1.810987 2.915326 4.971969 8.938537 16.797418 35.162419
2025-07-06 1.046828 1.673625 2.724251 4.709570 8.607015 16.495076 35.435502
2025-07-13 1.003220 1.624595 2.682951 4.721330 8.817230 17.343794 38.573046
2025-07-20 0.976504 1.602787 2.687670 4.819762 9.211786 18.636058 43.043303
2025-07-27 0.950562 1.580487 2.689534 4.912070 9.602457 19.970469 47.891436
2025-08-03 0.920519 1.548877 2.671900 4.963666 9.910839 21.157218 52.592434
2025-08-10 0.890321 1.515067 2.647670 4.999382 10.187461 22.305509 57.432197
2025-08-17 0.838837 1.439348 2.539518 4.853364 10.041067 22.406560 59.248994
2025-08-24 0.801989 1.388750 2.476261 4.796187 10.091867 23.004478 62.687873